Posted On Monday, Feb 23, 2015
As 31st March looms closer, the scramble to set our finances, particularly the tax planning starts to take precedence over all other activities, including the ongoing World Cup. After cheering for our favourite team, we are back at our laptops/tablets to figure out which is the best place to save taxes, and invest for the future. While many pundits and websites will tell you to invest in Tax Saving Funds or ELSS , many more will tell you to ensure that you have allocated your assets properly and have an appropriate exposure to Equity, Fixed Income and Gold. While enough has been said about equities in this environment of rising markets, it is also important to look at fixed Income and one important component of fixed income – Bonds. |
1. | Bonds pay periodic interest throughout its term; these are termed as coupons. Unlike equities (where the dividend income tends to fluctuate), the coupon rate of bonds are fixed. These coupons can be reinvested back and allowed to earn more returns, like you can do in a regular FD. | |
2. | Bonds also generate returns through capital gain/loss. When there is change in the market interest rates the trading price of existing bonds tends to change accordingly. Typically when market interest rates fall, bond prices move up, leading to capital gains. Conversely, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall, resulting in a loss. |
i. | Change in key interest rates | |
An increase or decrease in the key interest rates (which usually is linked to changes in the RBI’s monetary policies) can cause a fall or rise in bond prices and its returns. The returns of bonds with a longer maturity period are more sensitive to interest rate changes. | ||
ii. | Inflation | |
Continued higher inflation leads to higher interest rates, further lowering bond prices. | ||
iii. | Credit risk | |
Bonds other than those issued/guaranteed by the Central Government are exposed to the risk of default by the borrower (i.e. the risk that the borrower may fail to repay the interest and principal). The higher the perceived default risk from an instrument, the higher would be the relative yield on that bond. | ||
iv. | Other economic indicators | |
Other economic factors such as GDP growth, fiscal deficit, currency rates and crude oil prices also have an impact on bond returns. For instance, a weak rupee, rising oil prices and widening deficit may hurt bond returns. But expectation of weak economic growth is actually positive for bonds, as then the central bank may cut interest rates, sparking a rally in bond prices. |
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